United States Problems with the Kyoto Treaty

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            The United States does not support the Kyoto Treaty and the Senate did not ratify it when it was brought before them to be reviewed.  The Senate did approve a resolution in September 1997 by a 95-0 vote that listed the minimum requirements that would result in the Senate ratifying the treaty.  Those requirements have not been met which means that non-ratification by the United States excludes them from being a part of an international treaty to fight against global warming.  Although the United States has been criticized for not ratifying the Kyoto Treaty, it is not without serious concerns and problems that President Bush and the Senate see in the Kyoto Treaty.  President Bush has been quoted as saying that the Kyoto Treaty is “fatally flawed in fundamental ways” (“Bush Discusses”).  The treaty also poses domestic concerns that President Bush continues to stress.

            One of the main reasons as to why the United States has not ratified the treaty is because there is a lack of participation in the developing world.  The United States is the largest emitter of greenhouse gases but developing countries, which are quickly increasing their burning of fossil fuels for energy, are predicted to surpass the amount of greenhouse emissions released by the United States.  China, Brazil, and India are expected to surpass the United States emissions within 25 to 30 years.  The way that the treaty is designed, fourteen out of twenty of the top emitting countries would not have to limit their emissions.  By not requiring these countries to reduce their emissions, it would damage any attempts by other countries to reduce their emissions (Mathews 215-216).

            Economic concerns have also played an important role in the United States non-ratification of the treaty.  Some people believe that signing the treaty will have no economic impact on American jobs and cost of living and others think that it will hurt Americans economically.  Another concern is that if only industrialized countries are made to reduce their emissions, companies will close their businesses in the United States and other industrialized nations and more to developing countries where there are no limits.  This would result in job losses throughout the United States and other developed countries (Mathews 222).

            Many countries, including the United States, believe that the emissions targets set forth by the treaty cannot be reached by many countries because carbon dioxide emissions are increasing.  Another problem is that even if greenhouse gas emission reductions are met, they are thought to be ineffective in slowing the process of global warming.  Some scientists have estimated that in order for the atmosphere to catch up with the greenhouse gases that have been and are being admitted into the air, then a 60 percent reduction of greenhouse gas emissions needs to be met.  The treaty only calls for an average of 5.2 percent reductions.

            Other areas of concern deal with scientific problems and flaws contained within the Kyoto Treaty.  Some scientists say that global warming does not exist and others say that it is and it will have tremendous impacts on the Earth.  Some scientists think that the evidence of the increased temperature on the Earth’s surface is not a  result of global warming and is just an increase in temperature because of weather patterns.  Others point to the fact that the Earth’s temperature over the last twelve years has been the hottest the Earth has ever been and it is a direct cause of human activities that emit greenhouse gases (Mathews 200).

            Another scientific problem is that the Kyoto Protocol was based on percentages of greenhouse gases that might not have been taken accurately.  The most data that was kept on any of the greenhouse gases was carbon dioxide and is considered fairly reliable while data on the other main greenhouse gases are not well kept.  People argue that the treaty is based on numbers and percentages that could be wrong (Mathews 201-202).

Nicole Natoli  nanatoli@naz.edu
Last Updated May 02, 2003